Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 9.273716 10.745936 12.325992 14.142120 16.165955 18.345964 20.865649
2025-05-04 7.420481 9.335963 11.523077 14.185363 17.317677 20.864845 25.163346
2025-05-11 5.839543 7.909691 10.406158 13.598381 17.528690 22.165158 28.000115
2025-05-18 4.841030 7.004462 9.742074 13.394079 18.065579 23.765241 31.161283
2025-05-25 4.029781 6.207266 9.089586 13.086687 18.378119 25.029100 33.892616
2025-06-01 3.433763 5.608826 8.610445 12.922068 18.807190 26.400180 36.755464
2025-06-08 2.895749 5.014888 8.061748 12.589685 18.952424 27.365144 39.086495
2025-06-15 2.568793 4.687389 7.845788 12.680044 19.644308 29.044821 42.378856
2025-06-22 2.247042 4.323759 7.534297 12.593678 20.061069 30.343645 45.180051
2025-06-29 2.026602 4.094251 7.397949 12.741565 20.799036 32.089068 48.621898
2025-07-06 1.836620 3.890735 7.278789 12.896224 21.538549 33.845931 52.116501
2025-07-13 1.715685 3.792378 7.315594 13.285162 22.630594 36.125892 56.394955
2025-07-20 1.578530 3.649889 7.269481 13.541646 23.537797 38.178807 60.429542
2025-07-27 1.412206 3.430197 7.071195 13.533722 24.029724 39.633124 63.639761
2025-08-03 1.179285 3.045610 6.548067 12.948080 23.580360 39.667585 64.779540
2025-08-10 1.029957 2.809268 6.265878 12.743069 23.713772 40.562994 67.186729
2025-08-17 0.887718 2.565551 5.945031 12.444126 23.671216 41.176697 69.177810
2025-08-24 0.779003 2.379292 5.714336 12.284499 23.842072 42.112835 71.663776
2025-08-31 0.667232 2.166349 5.408905 11.964691 23.721683 42.579936 73.437762
2025-09-07 0.606775 2.069394 5.327867 12.051182 24.290645 44.144056 76.921039
2025-09-14 0.538030 1.939024 5.164057 11.968144 24.557606 45.226834 79.678220
2025-09-21 0.494284 1.868087 5.119876 12.110090 25.220455 46.961387 83.485734
2025-09-28 0.454972 1.802688 5.081273 12.258581 25.897055 48.731942 87.383957